Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.101846 1.242414 1.395807 1.575907 1.781930 2.010664 2.284422
2026-01-04 0.913184 1.104649 1.330284 1.616970 1.973178 2.403325 2.965297
2026-01-11 0.782477 1.002174 1.277889 1.651923 2.150101 2.796361 3.707241
2026-01-18 0.681911 0.916076 1.225902 1.670290 2.298616 3.166130 4.473508
2026-01-25 0.592199 0.828271 1.154946 1.646406 2.378147 3.445000 5.150852
2026-02-01 0.508633 0.736144 1.063238 1.575933 2.374267 3.594993 5.651733
2026-02-08 0.447305 0.667545 0.995266 1.528410 2.393263 3.774994 6.219042
2026-02-15 0.400220 0.614190 0.942747 1.495856 2.427759 3.978802 6.850892
2026-02-22 0.377453 0.595463 0.940820 1.542412 2.595345 4.421922 7.966080
2026-03-01 0.351342 0.568222 0.921604 1.556589 2.707370 4.781317 8.984062
2026-03-08 0.319736 0.528523 0.877263 1.521382 2.725516 4.971109 9.703763
2026-03-15 0.291739 0.492123 0.834649 1.483784 2.733247 5.139988 10.405471
2026-03-22 0.280579 0.484908 0.843983 1.545914 2.945646 5.750304 12.174763
2026-03-29 0.266695 0.471568 0.841150 1.585249 3.120153 6.314747 13.966312
2026-04-05 0.253272 0.457701 0.835832 1.619049 3.288405 6.893727 15.915597
2026-04-12 0.239140 0.441058 0.823413 1.636833 3.425171 7.426047 17.868026
2026-04-19 0.221741 0.416452 0.792968 1.613395 3.468267 7.752755 19.373073
2026-04-26 0.201321 0.384063 0.743891 1.544439 3.399023 7.804537 20.165259
2026-05-03 0.185226 0.358891 0.707062 1.497944 3.375483 7.963248 21.285820
2026-05-10 0.172072 0.338545 0.678290 1.466098 3.382412 8.199053 22.679123
2026-05-17 0.167004 0.334432 0.683233 1.511630 3.584733 8.971005 25.839744
2026-05-24 0.159576 0.324676 0.675073 1.525494 3.709418 9.558229 28.579185
2026-05-31 0.148896 0.307052 0.648043 1.491059 3.704355 9.788286 30.229800